Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b520df237d5ea575233cebef0c23895afb1f69b7436b4cf1d412e6ea4b88775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,452,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,458,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,452,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked No | 50c | 370,571$183,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,997.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 52c | 206,535$106,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,952.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 51c | 187,252$96,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,140.97 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 49c | 63,533$31,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,107.35 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 49c | 58,433$28,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,020.79 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 48c | 45,000$21,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 49c | 35,305$17,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,885.35 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 49c | 35,209$17,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,951.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 49c | 30,873$15,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,188.46 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 28,759$14,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,507.76 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 49c | 28,082$13,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,760.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 52c | 24,979$12,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,989.07 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 48c | 24,898$11,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,951.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 23,769$11,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,813 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 50c | 22,222$11,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,111 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 16,706$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,471.44 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 48c | 15,232$7,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Yes | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Yes | 50c | 14,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes | 52c | 11,300$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 50c | 11,153$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.49 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 48c | 11,104$5,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,331.53 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 50c | 10,584$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.4 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…c50abacked No | 48c | 9,750$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 9,602$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.73 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 51c | 9,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 8,300$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 48c | 8,096$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.92 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…bb8abacked Yes | 52c | 8,000$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 7,581$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.61 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 52c | 7,500$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 7,500$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 51c | 5,772$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 49c | 4,998$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 48c | 4,962$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 47c | 4,750$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 49c | 4,176$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.89 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,135$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.51 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 3,564$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.09 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 3,250$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.04 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 51c | 3,200$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 47c | 3,152$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 2,940$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.47 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 50c | 2,581$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.1 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,205$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.25 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 50c | 2,202$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 52c | 2,188$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.32 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 51c | 1,963$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.82 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 49c | 1,881$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 1,823$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.03 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,624$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.1 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 50c | 1,568$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 46c | 1,564$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.24 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 1,455$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.88 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 50c | 1,322$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.79 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 50c | 1,181$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Yes | 59c | 1,059$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.35 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 48c | 908.45$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.26 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes | 51c | 816.14$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 51c | 796.63$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 786.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.57 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 48c | 775.75$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 774.97$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 50c | 769.37$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.18 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 750.98$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 745$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 711.01$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.91 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 56c | 695.29$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 58c | 690.11$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.39 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 50c | 685$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 49c | 675.79$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Yes | 50c | 644$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.94 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 613.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 51c | 612.25$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 47c | 583.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 45c | 575.17$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.76 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 51c | 559$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 29c | 506.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.