Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf597322234ccdd1b921ad82975ef4fe9771735e7e98e85d394d5cb3c85f777a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 27c | 9,378$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.54 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 9c | 4,605$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.43 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 3,538$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.23 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 2,314$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 1,490$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.3 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 28c | 748.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 612.41$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 27c | 525.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 516.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 515.62$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 73c | 464.77$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 74c | 442.89$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 419$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 63c | 389.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 366.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 337.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 307.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 28c | 288$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked No | 75c | 281.41$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 75c | 225.82$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 216.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 69c | 185.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 16c | 175.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 27c | 175$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 71c | 168.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 73c | 153.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 25c | 139.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 138.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 135.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 134.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 120.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 37c | 102.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 101.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 100.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 24c | 97.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 81.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 75.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 73.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 70.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 16c | 68.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 76c | 63.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 53.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 28c | 50.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…e039backed Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 27c | 48.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 28c | 48.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 27c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 71c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 47c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 73c | 28.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 25.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked No | 73c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…5aedbacked No | 75c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed No | 71c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed No | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.