Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d53dd0e75ad9d0c2dc2c20a9c39994784409c602b679017e9aaa09fd11e2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 7,807$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.49 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 60c | 6,415$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 4,148$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 60c | 3,969$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 2,992$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 2,619$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.38 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…c98bbacked Under | 1c | 1,397$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 723.93$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 656.14$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 521.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 40c | 500.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 453.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 71c | 422.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 68c | 415.25$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 33c | 404.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Over | 54c | 367.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 42c | 293$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 261.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 261.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Over | 79c | 251.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 233.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 219$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 218.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 76c | 187.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 181.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed Over | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 36c | 139.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 35c | 136$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 55c | 103.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 40c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 38c | 101.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 28c | 97.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 40c | 93.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 77c | 92.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 13c | 89.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 40c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 60c | 75.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 74.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 64c | 70.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 61c | 56.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 33c | 50.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 68c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…bb7abacked Under | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…85b9backed Under | 34c | 44.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 65c | 43.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 43.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…4f07backed Over | 63c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 75c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Alverca (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)FC Alverca won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.