Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5981cbd1eb772dbdf8ee0c5047b5570a6e20acc41bd5bcc5303b65b2d75d1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 48c | 32,113$15,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,388.05 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 13,131$6,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 7,091$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.25 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 4,068$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Under | 76c | 3,600$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 24c | 2,343$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 973.98$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Under | 46c | 946.22$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 51c | 940.78$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 42c | 810$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 64c | 799.99$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 72c | 693.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 21c | 581.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 538.91$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 511.78$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 496.87$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 59c | 461.29$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 21c | 360$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 329.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 33c | 269.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 31c | 193.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 154.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Over | 23c | 127.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 42c | 117.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 109.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 47c | 105.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Under | 78c | 104.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 101.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Under | 71c | 99.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 97.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 76.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…ce52backed Under | 68c | 74.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 67.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 67.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 80c | 58.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…aa8dbacked Under | 76c | 50.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 48.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 74c | 43.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…2fa7backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8e…5984backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…299bbacked Under | 57c | 18.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 74c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…ef69backed Under | 78c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…1397backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Alverca (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)FC Alverca won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.