Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff9d378f930322944848fecc17081cba2d56b137e4f4d6c87804a4a5d527109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof South Alabama Jaguars, Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 44c | 26,905$11,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,753.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 5,447$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.09 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 5,046$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.82 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed South Alabama Jaguars | 64c | 4,662$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.82 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 2,234$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.94 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 43c | 1,854$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 1,633$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 58c | 1,565$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 47c | 1,182$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Alabama Jaguars | 46c | 1,151$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.88 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed South Alabama Jaguars | 43c | 1,096$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 1,028$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed South Alabama Jaguars | 16c | 1,009$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked South Alabama Jaguars | 15c | 959$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.96 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 78c | 795.21$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.87 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 755.41$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.66 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 73c | 747$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.26 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 532.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 530$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 18c | 482$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 463.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9c | 377.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 49c | 343.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 31c | 324.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 47c | 303.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 75c | 273.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…5671backed South Alabama Jaguars | 65c | 241.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 234.52$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 222.13$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 200.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 199.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed South Alabama Jaguars | 21c | 165$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed South Alabama Jaguars | 15c | 160$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 21c | 131.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 114.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 19c | 106.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 39c | 89.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 22c | 89.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…1ef1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 64.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed South Alabama Jaguars | 23c | 57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed South Alabama Jaguars | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 44.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 76c | 44.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 72c | 43.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 35c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 37c | 40.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 38.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 38.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 54c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4c89backed South Alabama Jaguars | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…6aa7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 20.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…af63backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesthis page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 149.5Over won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 150.5Over won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-6.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
- Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-7.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.