Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78704f1f739706e3366914fe96f37db920ac4a7b24600d49e902b30987b47b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicester City FCof Middlesbrough FC, Leicester City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 806.67$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Leicester City FC | 60c | 734.59$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Leicester City FC | 59c | 443$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Leicester City FC | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Leicester City FC | 64c | 212.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Middlesbrough FC | 36c | 212.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Leicester City FC | 62c | 206.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Middlesbrough FC | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Middlesbrough FC | 41c | 169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 39c | 94.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Leicester City FC | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Leicester City FC | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Middlesbrough FC | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Middlesbrough FC | 38c | 61.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 37c | 27.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…e773backed Leicester City FC | 62c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Leicester City FC | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Leicester City FC | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.