Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aca71ac8bfe1d55b36cf66de402a24b31529e5903822378c9e5408061ccc07f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 9,000$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.93 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 57c | 2,630$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.19 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 40c | 1,289$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.53 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 39c | 1,073$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.59 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 61c | 1,065$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 27c | 749.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.3 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 749.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 549.76$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 477$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 38c | 471.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 45c | 423.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Over | 65c | 387.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 313$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…7715backed Over | 59c | 293.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 277.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 234.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 76c | 141.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 141.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 126.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 113.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 46c | 90.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…c246backed Over | 59c | 89.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 44c | 83.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 29c | 58.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 54.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 56c | 38.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 77c | 33.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 33.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d0eabacked Over | 56c | 28.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 56c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 24.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…e773backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 55c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.