Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec3e956909ad1849ed6b2a96165fe1f0eb549271f34663e2e376971e8cef881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Colorado Buffaloes, Arizona State Sun Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 42c | 4,584$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.16 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 4,582$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 55c | 3,625$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 2,402$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 2,139$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.62 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 1,909$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 1,665$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.66 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 1,630$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.72 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Colorado Buffaloes | 68c | 1,475$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.94 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 1,379$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 61c | 1,151$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.82 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 951.1$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 55c | 868.78$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9c7dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 801.1$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 790.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 705.42$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.93 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 53c | 679.5$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 19c | 668.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 523.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…a08fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 23c | 461.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 454.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 438.36$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 61c | 437.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 399.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 259.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 58c | 252.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 70c | 250$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 227$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 12c | 212$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…adfcbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 60c | 190.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 153.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 32c | 153.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 124.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Colorado Buffaloes | 54c | 123.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a0…7a5fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 121.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 16c | 117.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 31c | 112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 14c | 106.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 82.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 17c | 75.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colorado Buffaloes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Colorado Buffaloes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…0910backed Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsthis page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 157.5Over won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-2.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-3.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.