La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cd36c345b7050b56fd24796a6e9b69f8092048e35f8434349ddbdd79fb4a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,774 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 2,123$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.85 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 28c | 1,217$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.49 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 1,168$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 899.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 65c | 727.67$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.68 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 20c | 670$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 662.79$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 621.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.38 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 567.91$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 515.43$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 36c | 446.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 65c | 310.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 63c | 170$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes | 64c | 162.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…09c3backed Yes | 80c | 145.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked No | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 80c | 131.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…af9cbacked Yes | 64c | 103.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 20c | 84.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 63c | 80.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 78.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Yes | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 77.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 65c | 76.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 69.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 35c | 68.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 39c | 47.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 46.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 65c | 41.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…e290backed Yes | 62c | 40.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…c414backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 37c | 36.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 64c | 35.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…7c74backed Yes | 63c | 31.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…225bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…f1c5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…9ca6backed Yes | 64c | 31.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 66c | 29.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed No | 36c | 27.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 78c | 22.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 63c | 22.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Yes | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 62c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 67c | 17.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 69c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 66c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 63c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-09?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-09?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.