La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b90b6e8d01f539b6968bb7d25c8867c01a298f06d18cc8ad4fa915166daf049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 31c | 927.68$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.1 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 829.14$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.49 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 371.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 62c | 342.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 324.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 283.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 235.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 44c | 217.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…a6cabacked Yes | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 62c | 123.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 60c | 73.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 48c | 70.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 68.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 65.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 38c | 47.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Yes | 60c | 41.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 61c | 39.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 60c | 34.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 62c | 29.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 49c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…3efdbacked Yes | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.