La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6ec0347ca283673d97789d85d2fed639f3fb9a9cd3eedf266ebee48aed002c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 59c | 6,095$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.42 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 4,311$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 2,282$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.91 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 743.57$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 53c | 549.39$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Under | 39c | 477.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 383.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 227$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 55c | 202.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 66c | 167.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 41c | 144.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 55c | 127.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 99.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 88.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 70.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 65.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Under | 59c | 63.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 33c | 62.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 61.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 55c | 59.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 59.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 35c | 56.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 26c | 46.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 54c | 34.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Over | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.