South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d0c5bb8de41e00f95bdc6f082420cc0953cb1749c8a3ea992cd8e5ff338ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 32c | 24,429$7,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,753.18 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 30c | 22,837$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.41 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 68c | 9,677$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 69c | 9,450$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 3,720$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.87 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked No | 66c | 3,620$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 3,025$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 29c | 2,035$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 70c | 2,018$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.27 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 70c | 1,750$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 921$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…1c0bbacked Yes | 31c | 808.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 30c | 666.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked No | 66c | 470.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 443.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 315$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 8c | 299.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 292$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 275$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 270$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 66c | 206.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 71c | 186.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 31c | 168.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 140.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 128.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 101.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 65.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 16c | 64.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 67c | 32.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.