South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94a33a52df84461b9bba710e4e395c7a90846729ec63ce605ad3f22a61606af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 35c | 10,219$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.7 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 7,165$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 67c | 2,481$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.97 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 2,088$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.7 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 64c | 985.62$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 573.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 72c | 418.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed No | 68c | 292.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 270.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 34c | 253.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 80c | 212.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 37c | 207$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 205.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 204.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 7c | 195.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 177.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 64c | 175.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 175$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…e31dbacked Yes | 34c | 166.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 65c | 148.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Yes | 64c | 132.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 72c | 112.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 110.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…6b18backed Yes | 70c | 99.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 64c | 94.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 26c | 87.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Yes | 65c | 76.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 39c | 75.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 44c | 74.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 32c | 70.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 29c | 56.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 28c | 56.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 66c | 55.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed No | 24c | 47.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2db0backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…73f5backed No | 35c | 42.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf7…3412backed Yes | 65c | 38.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 65c | 37.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…5761backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 65c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 65c | 29.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…c738backed Yes | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 20.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 66c | 17.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 67c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.