South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6a0716f4715bdf4deb9f9ed927c1bbe07b8ec61c747c8f856f92a7ce5dbefd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 24c | 16,193$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.01 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 12,510$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.53 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 6,403$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.74 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,130$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 3,385$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 11c | 980$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 56c | 745.08$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.48 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 13c | 446$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 11c | 402.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 11c | 240$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 12c | 228$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 36c | 220.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 36c | 212.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 38c | 207.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 173.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 76c | 173.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 36c | 162$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 38c | 155.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 46c | 123.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 73c | 98.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 52c | 95.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 41c | 84.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 57c | 76.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 59c | 66.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 66c | 66.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 28c | 63.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 23c | 52.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 46c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 33c | 49.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 59c | 49.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 59c | 44.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 45c | 40.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 45c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 41c | 27.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 39c | 26.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…301fbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…b94abacked No | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.