South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a67eed6e31dc6493a37bd0515b5875a3fbdedf90204d8888acd93044c7484f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 9,186$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.26 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 3,567$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 3,357$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 3,294$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed No | 77c | 2,492$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 2,454$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.66 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 36c | 1,405$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 1,387$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 32c | 1,246$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.11 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 49c | 1,071$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.78 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 904.39$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 656.31$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 507.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 25c | 402.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 253.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 238.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 217.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 166.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 30c | 154.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 74c | 153.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 129.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 34c | 124.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 47c | 118.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 32c | 117.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 117.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Yes | 25c | 109.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 102.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 17c | 98.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 29c | 97.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 62c | 96.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 29c | 95.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 64c | 95.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 56c | 88.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 51c | 79.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 26c | 79.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 38c | 75.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 24c | 66.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 76c | 65.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 65.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…e3b5backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 39c | 59.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…9876backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 76c | 56.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 23c | 53.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 76c | 49.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 42c | 45.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 27c | 41.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 48c | 40.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 40.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Yes | 35c | 39.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 30c | 37.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 75c | 30.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Yes | 46c | 25.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 24.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 66c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…1446backed No | 73c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.