Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3256f7e0b80c5bc5c804bb922f66aff50f311a8c3ecfb213933b0e5eeacab09e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Vitalityof FUT Esports, Team Vitality
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $135,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $145,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf070…ac55backed FUT Esports	33c	40,000$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,200	241	45.2%109 W · 132 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Vitality	67c	37,495$25,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,373.46	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports	35c	28,869$10,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,128.94	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Team Vitality	54c	9,767$5,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,482.78	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Vitality	72c	6,809$4,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,890.51	117	47%55 W · 62 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Vitality	56c	3,450$1,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.95	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality	69c	3,193$2,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.61	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Vitality	72c	2,797$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.47	396	46%182 W · 214 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Vitality	66c	2,543$1,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.94	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports	36c	2,520$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.19	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Team Vitality	59c	2,141$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.78	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Team Vitality	73c	2,000$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.29	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports	38c	1,535$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.18	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Team Vitality	64c	1,469$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.89	109	46.8%51 W · 58 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports	25c	1,412$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.45	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Vitality	61c	1,291$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.7	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FUT Esports	37c	1,178$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.09	320	47.8%153 W · 167 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Team Vitality	72c	1,028$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.77	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Vitality	70c	857.14$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Vitality	61c	854.79$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.31	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports	24c	817$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.17	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Team Vitality	77c	649.9$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.9	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Vitality	79c	640$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.2	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed FUT Esports	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Team Vitality	77c	600$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports	35c	595.76$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.52	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked FUT Esports	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Vitality	66c	400$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Team Vitality	69c	345.16$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.76	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-25%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Team Vitality	65c	320$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.64	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed FUT Esports	38c	307.34$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.54	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed FUT Esports	27c	304.82$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed FUT Esports	39c	247.42$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.24	361	45.7%165 W · 196 L	+22.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Vitality	62c	245.4$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.13	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Team Vitality	64c	226.56$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.56	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked FUT Esports	31c	225.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed FUT Esports	33c	220$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports	34c	207$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Team Vitality	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.76	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Team Vitality	64c	168.41$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.83	176	42.6%75 W · 101 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Vitality	69c	165.57$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked Team Vitality	73c	163.99$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.78	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FUT Esports	39c	161$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.79	281	43.4%122 W · 159 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Team Vitality	61c	161$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.79	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Team Vitality	64c	151.79$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.64	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked FUT Esports	26c	135.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.27	225	39.1%88 W · 137 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Team Vitality	56c	133.88$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.9	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports	26c	130.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.58	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports	26c	130.79$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.41	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Team Vitality	58c	129.31$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.31	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked FUT Esports	32c	128.42$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.58	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Team Vitality	62c	113.39$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.63	282	52.5%148 W · 134 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed FUT Esports	38c	102.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.84	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed FUT Esports	39c	95.62$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed FUT Esports	39c	93.02$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed FUT Esports	35c	91.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed FUT Esports	36c	89.45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Vitality	58c	87.53$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.46	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked FUT Esports	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Team Vitality	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	203	47.3%96 W · 107 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4baf…498cbacked FUT Esports	39c	73.79$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Team Vitality	63c	73.16$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.07	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Team Vitality	62c	72$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.09	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Team Vitality	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FUT Esports	22c	64.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Team Vitality	57c	56.88$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.46	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked FUT Esports	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-9.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Team Vitality	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Team Vitality	77c	49.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed FUT Esports	33c	46.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Team Vitality	63c	45.34$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.85	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports	37c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Team Vitality	62c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Team Vitality	52c	39.67$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.04	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed Team Vitality	64c	34.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	132	61.4%81 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Team Vitality	57c	33.89$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cba…351cbacked Team Vitality	66c	32.68$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.11	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Vitality	52c	30.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	349	54.7%191 W · 158 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FUT Esports	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Team Vitality	70c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Team Vitality	74c	19.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.05	117	70.9%83 W · 34 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Team Vitality	77c	19.36$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.36	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Team Vitality	76c	19.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.61	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	-9.7wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Vitality won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event