Europa Conference League · resolved market
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e90da86b6396f88c1904b71d3b4e9f7a166d96095d9776de0780b74a13f723a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Yes | 50c | 407.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 261.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 182.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 135.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 69.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 51c | 66.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 51c | 63.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 50c | 59.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 59.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 50c | 46.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked No | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 45cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 50c | 37.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked No | 62c | 32.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Yes | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed No | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…25d6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Team to AdvanceMH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)FC Sheriff Tiraspol won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5)FC Sheriff Tiraspol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.