TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,133 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f1…92d2backed Under79c1,536$1,214 inWon+$322.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost-$21096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over21c361.67$76 inLost-$76.3612832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over8c314.86$24 inLost-$23.88316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over21c290.04$61 inLost-$60.9138144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c255.99$202 inWon+$53.7627545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over21c78.35$16 inLost-$16.4513450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fac…8fd7backed Over22c66.18$14 inLost-$14.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over21c53$11 inLost-$11.111,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under79c49.41$39 inWon+$10.5265549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under78c44.94$35 inWon+$9.8944156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under78c15.62$12 inWon+$3.448256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.