Europa Conference League · resolved market
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76497763399601b86fe924964e2ac02ae26350dd15d7937c4e6510d72eafe1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 62c | 3,594$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.32 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 63c | 2,626$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 66c | 1,667$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.87 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 1,640$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 47c | 1,613$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.57 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 38c | 1,102$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.35 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 30c | 963.37$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 38c | 865.85$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.83 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 39c | 679.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Over | 16c | 620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 525.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.19 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 56c | 515.37$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 33c | 513.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 424.28$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 55c | 391.74$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 358$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 73c | 347.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 62c | 297$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 78c | 257.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 206.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 60c | 156.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 131.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 40c | 116.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 90.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 79.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 47c | 73.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 49c | 71.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 58c | 68.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 37c | 59.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 38c | 58.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 59c | 56.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 62c | 54.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 54.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 62c | 50.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 49c | 49.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 33c | 37.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 59c | 36.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 33.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 55c | 28.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 62c | 24.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Over | 55c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 60c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 2.5this page
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Team to AdvanceMH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)FC Sheriff Tiraspol won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5)FC Sheriff Tiraspol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.