Champions League · resolved market
KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c245bc8d06f7eb6f6e431ad8be6a123a2e4ddf75496713d26a6d0cd5f2a14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 25c | 4,797$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Under | 69c | 3,832$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Over | 23c | 2,129$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 21c | 1,711$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 24c | 1,524$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 53c | 1,429$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 37c | 1,318$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 47c | 1,171$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 75c | 1,151$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.14 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 22c | 818.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 636.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 13c | 403.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Over | 19c | 371.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 18c | 337.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 76c | 314.54$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 309.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 11c | 304.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 11c | 280.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 79c | 253.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 6c | 243.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 10c | 229$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 14c | 228$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 80c | 217.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 79c | 194.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Under | 71c | 159.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 154.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 146.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Over | 9c | 134.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 19c | 128.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 120.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…9c8ebacked Over | 16c | 119.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 39c | 118.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 36c | 115.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 40c | 100.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 90.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 86.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 13c | 79.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 79.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 75.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 73.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 35c | 69.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Over | 32c | 68.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 67.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Under | 67c | 64.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 78c | 63.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 31c | 63.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…bbebbacked Over | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Under | 74c | 54.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 59c | 53.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…bec7backed Over | 19c | 53.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 34c | 50.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 46.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 68c | 42.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…b8a5backed Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 75c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5this page
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)KF Víkingur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.