Champions League · resolved market
KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40787b2aa56b9cb4c200aa716fe61d7764211804b67f63aea64a879722e56bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,880$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.84 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…6763backed Over | 48c | 1,078$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 3c | 1,063$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 53c | 868.28$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.62 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 634.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 621$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under | 20c | 600$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 11c | 575.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 511.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 7c | 489.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 50c | 452$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 19c | 449.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 387.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 250.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 54c | 162.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 54c | 155.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 12c | 153.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 58c | 139.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 18c | 112.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 101.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 90.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 46c | 83.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 52c | 65.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 49c | 64.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 80c | 63.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 24c | 63.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 51c | 61.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 48c | 60.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Over | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 55.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 52.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 59c | 45.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 30c | 35.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 75c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 1.5this page
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)KF Víkingur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.