TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked No50c40,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8002740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No49c30,765$14,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,925.641915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes71c11,914$8,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.038,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Yes51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes50c7,733$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.8575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c4,795$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.342,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c4,721$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No52c4,287$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.827950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c4,154$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.631,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c4,054$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.433,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes51c3,701$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.321,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes52c3,283$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.845,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes52c3,054$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.051,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No10c3,002$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.811039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c2,992$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.6719952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked No54c2,970$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No52c2,955$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.478743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes51c2,873$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.061,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No41c2,729$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.866232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c2,480$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.521,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No38c2,411$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.2126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20016160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes59c2,324$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.2212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes54c2,316$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No25c2,063$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.152330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+438.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No10c1,998$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9312340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes51c1,949$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.227244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No27c1,805$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c1,714$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.81,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes50c1,644$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.2231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes49c1,554$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.542352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes62c1,198$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.972,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes46c1,018$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.646553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.994040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No51c837.78$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2717049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c782.77$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.71,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes56c779.66$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2610649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes49c700$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No6c675.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5719437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c542.68$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.481,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No50c528.08$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.468139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes45c517.01$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5219447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No9c509.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8216641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes67c474.54$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes51c464.65$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.533,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No51c460.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Yes52c455.15$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.474456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes47c440$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No51c412.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes74c412$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes64c373.4$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No56c353.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.239454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No4c342.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1415625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked No43c332.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.043836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes78c320.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick77cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes73c313.56$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes55c311.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8916864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes58c306.96$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No34c294.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No51c288.53$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.523438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No34c275.01$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5530048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.166642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c223.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No48c222.47$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.797060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0710146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes49c192$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.928551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No48c190.54$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4611143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes47c187.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9216751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes62c185$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.491,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes50c180.8$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes76c172.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No38c169.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.25466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No7c168$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes70c167.1$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes58c165$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No13c163.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2319953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes64c141.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes67c141.28$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No24c124.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c117.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.951,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes59c112.59$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2129047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes51c108.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.122,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes51c108$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.941,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes71c100.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9724535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes47c97.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8719543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No47c93.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.69244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No54c91.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4116234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c88.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.131,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes58c82.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.