South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec5ffce7355201c093b22dde4e1e5613b72a902bee8412a87bf920f047fea1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 17,557$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.51 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 1c | 13,982$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.54 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 22c | 6,381$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.96 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 3c | 2,004$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 78c | 1,801$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 10c | 1,524$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 994.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes | 3c | 925.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 895.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 889.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 806.68$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 599.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 478.86$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 79c | 405.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 78c | 395.72$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 373$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 79c | 364.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 301.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…454fbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Yes | 6c | 166.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…f521backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 25c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 80c | 30.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 80c | 30.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 17.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 79c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.