South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df97905a8e7cb2c23f069a621292f53f621a7989953760f9bb0b4bb052c15b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 68c | 2,688$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.38 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,594$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 36c | 1,970$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 1,115$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 2c | 1,039$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 896.76$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 57c | 853.86$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 19c | 822.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 679.6$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.17 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 505.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 501.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 68c | 420.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 407$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 20c | 400$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 58c | 331.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 32c | 320.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 71c | 205.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 196.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 145.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 91.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 31c | 80.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 77.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 32c | 72.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 31c | 66.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 62.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 32c | 45.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 30c | 43.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…5944backed Yes | 45c | 22.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.