TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8fa0…5944

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Katie Volynetsbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$13.24
The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$20.4
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$7.35
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cadence Bracebacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.22
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Bunschoten: Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broskabacked Florian Broska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$5.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Start win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.