TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed Under56c13,179$7,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,355.388763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over39c7,692$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.314843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under61c5,022$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.481,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c4,065$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.965,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,589$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.89927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over56c3,344$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.5810828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under48c2,715$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.4119155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c2,679$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.271,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under15c2,471$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7912646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over53c2,040$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.2375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c1…b35ebacked Under46c1,984$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under35c1,766$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.7330048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c1,384$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under9c1,148$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under2c1,056$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.356524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under40c1,001$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.782433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5705133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3911855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under44c976.32$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.667742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under61c966.35$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.471,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over34c836.76$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.962969%20 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+112.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over41c827.95$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.438139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c794.84$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.151,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under14c787.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over65c768.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.121752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under16c731.31$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.473458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c697$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.292,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under49c693.99$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.137950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under20c635.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.658743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over47c603.97$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.18928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over39c593.33$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.071838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c579.79$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.923,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under45c571.57$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.425837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under30c564.54$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.386331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c549.34$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.782,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c501.32$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5431136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over43c479.51$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.324456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea83…e0ccbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under50c397.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under65c385.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over70c357.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.296668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over71c356.42$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.641,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over51c347$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.353571.4%25 W · 10 L+10.8wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+132.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c326.06$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.928,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under53c320.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over53c317.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under40c302.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.916225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over35c295.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.772626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over65c286.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.156162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under26c283.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.515230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under25c275.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3235246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c254.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.981,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over42c253.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under46c250.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under40c249.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over42c224.23$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.279551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2276…a73abacked Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over56c199.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.294281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c194.38$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.82,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under23c193.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.726053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6712738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under60c183.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over44c176.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.926350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over42c171.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9720036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c165.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over41c164.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3111457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.435240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under59c159.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3611059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under46c157.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2450656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over67c152.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c150.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over65c124.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.110635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under39c119.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over64c117.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.183641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed Over51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over79c100.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.915251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Over79c100.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.914755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under19c100.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.084228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under50c100.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0315625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under61c98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over64c95.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under57c95.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.343545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a6…fd20backed Under63c93.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c90.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under58c89.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0410766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9805…a997backed Under60c82.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under59c81.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9610819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under39c81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7518446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under21c69.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.