TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x300b…f636backed Over66c2,749$1,820 inWon+$929.0211855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under2c2,220$41 inLost-$40.635954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c1,160$12 inLost-$11.6927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under34c1,013$343 inLost-$343.331,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c1,006$178 inLost-$178.048,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c1,000$340 inLost-$3401,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c770.2$244 inLost-$243.862,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under28c633.28$178 inLost-$178.0829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under2c578.24$12 inLost-$11.5610618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over66c454.55$300 inWon+$154.553360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under7c432.75$29 inLost-$29.325251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Under7c432.75$29 inLost-$29.324755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c409.28$80 inLost-$80.215,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under34c369.88$125 inLost-$12564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over67c287.93$193 inWon+$95.171838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Over66c276.58$183 inWon+$94.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over61c266.41$162 inWon+$103.952665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over69c243.41$168 inWon+$75.462,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c176$60 inLost-$59.8431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c106.33$16 inLost-$15.5789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over62c100$62 inWon+$387746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over67c100$67 inWon+$3311059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under14c94$13 inLost-$12.8718446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over79c78$62 inWon+$16.381,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c65.62$17 inLost-$17.282,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over79c49.7$39 inWon+$10.4951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over76c42.62$32 inWon+$10.239149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over65c41.04$27 inWon+$14.3640451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over77c35$27 inWon+$889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under34c31.47$11 inLost-$10.6723253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under36c31.25$11 inLost-$11.251,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f68…5927backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over76c30$23 inWon+$7.219050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over69c21.66$15 inWon+$6.6355946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over68c15.99$11 inWon+$5.142653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.