South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2aca6f21579cc7b3f7f147233084f54a05e3b0101b19131953634639733754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,655$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 2,148$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.96 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 1,513$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 23c | 1,401$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 80c | 1,156$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.46 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 1,037$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.59 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 30c | 962.7$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 77c | 950.82$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 23c | 912.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 75c | 799.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 768.25$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 72c | 699.91$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 72c | 652.09$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 11c | 587.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 553$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 67c | 496.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.23 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 31c | 425.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 71c | 322$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 37c | 294.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 26c | 275.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 259.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 204$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 200.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 30c | 186.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 22c | 179.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 177.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Over | 24c | 146.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 127.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 23c | 125.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 121.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…de86backed Under | 73c | 117.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 106.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 37c | 106.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…c052backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…3494backed Over | 32c | 94.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Over | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 69c | 72.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 73c | 65.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 27c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 58.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 71c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 55c | 37.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 32.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 75c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 68c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…c951backed Under | 68c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 70c | 16.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: CA Tigre O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: Club Nacional de Football O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)Club Nacional de Football won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.