South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf299bd4eabcf73afb8508c044ec293a6dc78c45c44743467aef9581ebba0c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 28c | 13,996$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.68 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 9,536$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 61c | 8,634$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 8,318$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 1,999$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.03 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 72c | 1,717$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.88 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 40c | 1,379$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.2 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 39c | 1,022$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.42 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 74c | 835.06$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.94 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 54c | 720.27$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.09 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 59c | 677.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 621.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.53 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 26c | 612.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.28 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 17c | 563.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 479.66$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 59c | 472.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.22 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 58c | 388.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Under | 27c | 376.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 14c | 362.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 40c | 306.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 303.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 280.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 72c | 276.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 41c | 232.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 44c | 217.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 50c | 203.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 179.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 84.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 74c | 67.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 74c | 67.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 59.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 56.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 72c | 48.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over | 45c | 45.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +973.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Under | 61c | 41.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 73c | 37.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…dad7backed Under | 73c | 36.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 44c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Under | 61c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…420cbacked Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Over | 74c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: CA Tigre O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: Club Nacional de Football O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)Club Nacional de Football won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.