TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bunschoten: Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broska

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Kumstatof Jan Kumstat, Florian Broska
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Florian Broska50c38,461$19,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,156.171,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…85efbacked Jan Kumstat50c19,413$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,712.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jan Kumstat50c16,526$8,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,205.248,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Florian Broska49c14,424$7,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,067.7659852.7%315 W · 283 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florian Broska41c8,548$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.48,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jan Kumstat49c8,093$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.314,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jan Kumstat51c7,500$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.9936149.6%179 W · 182 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…5b34backed Jan Kumstat23c6,880$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,327.781414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Florian Broska52c5,315$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.714,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florian Broska42c4,185$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.6211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Jan Kumstat51c3,300$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61741941.1%172 W · 247 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Jan Kumstat51c2,677$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.753,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Florian Broska57c2,272$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.372,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florian Broska45c2,224$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.858,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Jan Kumstat50c2,088$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.9471852.8%379 W · 339 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Florian Broska50c2,003$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00061857.8%357 W · 261 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Jan Kumstat48c1,955$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.582,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Florian Broska46c1,853$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.894,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Florian Broska58c1,473$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.592145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Florian Broska31c1,081$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Jan Kumstat51c1,045$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.9547842.5%203 W · 275 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Florian Broska28c1,022$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.071,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Florian Broska23c1,019$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.122,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Florian Broska50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Florian Broska50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027454%148 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Florian Broska50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026854.5%146 W · 122 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Jan Kumstat49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51026345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Jan Kumstat47c978.57$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.648950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Florian Broska24c837.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Florian Broska49c830.92$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Florian Broska52c784.73$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.069,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea97…5ac0backed Jan Kumstat54c778.28$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.011070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Jan Kumstat50c712.22$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1143643.8%191 W · 245 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Jan Kumstat48c703.53$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.061,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Jan Kumstat43c662.73$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.766750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Florian Broska23c627.1$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Florian Broska52c617.58$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.211,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Florian Broska49c603.11$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.522,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Florian Broska46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.992,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Florian Broska45c498.62$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.591,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Jan Kumstat50c497.49$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4920846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Florian Broska53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Jan Kumstat51c456.86$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8644056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Florian Broska53c414$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4228454.2%154 W · 130 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Jan Kumstat49c412.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.173754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Jan Kumstat23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30822146.2%102 W · 119 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Jan Kumstat50c399.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6844042.3%186 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Jan Kumstat41c384.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.861,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Jan Kumstat79c377.05$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.481758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Florian Broska50c371$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.54,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Florian Broska54c370.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Jan Kumstat48c363.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2738935.7%139 W · 250 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Florian Broska21c339.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7229519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Jan Kumstat60c324.67$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.22,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Jan Kumstat50c321.06$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1145751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Jan Kumstat51c320$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.810656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Florian Broska48c313.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.625,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Florian Broska34c300.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.931,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c3…7f0fbacked Florian Broska53c273.77$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.12748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Florian Broska53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Florian Broska49c249.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.531133.8%105 W · 206 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Florian Broska10c245.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6974712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Florian Broska21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Florian Broska40c236$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.336,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Florian Broska35c226.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8058931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Florian Broska16c223.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Florian Broska9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Jan Kumstat51c207.18$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5227748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Florian Broska24c206.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Jan Kumstat25c205.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.784949%24 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Florian Broska50c205$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Jan Kumstat49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Florian Broska40c203.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1136545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked Florian Broska50c202.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.013661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b4…70eabacked Florian Broska39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jan Kumstat47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…e738backed Florian Broska9c194$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Jan Kumstat76c193.7$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.481,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c23…ffcabacked Florian Broska9c190.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-85.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Jan Kumstat51c186.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2763650.3%320 W · 316 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Jan Kumstat51c174.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6620655.3%114 W · 92 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Kumstat52c173.94$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.154,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…b22cbacked Florian Broska56c173.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4711650%58 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Florian Broska50c171.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Florian Broska47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Florian Broska52c168.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.235347.9%169 W · 184 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Florian Broska17c166.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a48…edecbacked Florian Broska50c165.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Florian Broska57c144.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.531,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jan Kumstat65c141.29$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.082,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Florian Broska52c140.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.645,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Florian Broska47c140.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6617943.6%78 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Jan Kumstat45c137.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.476,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Florian Broska55c136.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Florian Broska49c132$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6824751%126 W · 121 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Florian Broska49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.71,06652.4%559 W · 507 L+30.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Jan Kumstat37c127.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.291,37716.3%224 W · 1,153 L-109.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Florian Broska63c125.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4734854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Jan Kumstat43c124.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.922,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Florian Broska48c121.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7314156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.