South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7df7a591183df52be1a05ec1a396fdee38f63e87040546a2743ed96f6da0cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 11,241$6,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.42 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 8,419$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 34c | 941.62$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.89 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 16c | 630$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…36d5backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 41c | 392.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 376$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 364.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 40c | 270$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 265.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 41c | 263.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 19c | 233.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 45c | 230.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 71c | 227.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Yes | 10c | 190.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 168.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 71c | 165$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 43c | 158.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 76c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 151.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 143.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 124.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 107.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 107.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 32c | 103.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 41c | 100.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 35c | 97.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 96.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Yes | 14c | 92.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 42c | 86.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 71.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 24c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 53.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked No | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 45.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 41c | 40.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 74c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 44c | 35.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 60c | 33.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Yes | 43c | 32.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 38c | 26.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Yes | 47c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…d8e1backed No | 58c | 21.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…5944backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…090fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 56c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-07-24?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.