TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Belgrano vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Over45c7,888$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.278743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under2c5,500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,410137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+370.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c4,643$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.288,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over70c4,138$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.553842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over61c4,081$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.31533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over73c3,653$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.5810828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under6c3,051$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.8212646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under28c3,014$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.7417440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under1c2,984$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.2523044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under39c2,350$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c1,714$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.2321752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under5c1,646$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.8311817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over60c1,605$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.9153836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under13c1,463$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.313026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under1c1,450$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.99137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+669.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c1,250$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under22c1,180$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.4312738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under13c1,114$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.284542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over61c980.33$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5982,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c911.35$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.681,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9805…a997backed Under38c842.11$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over63c797$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.949136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under41c641.45$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.337723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c400.68$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c359.6$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.761,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under32c349$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8322145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over60c333.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+81.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over60c331.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-55.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under5c330$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.718426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over23c328.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.072437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over60c325$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.849651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c321.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.121,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under19c306.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Over58c296.16$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under75c292.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3410648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under42c245.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5619053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c243.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.32,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under28c223.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under38c185.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c177.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.443,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over73c171.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under12c168.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.665251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under66c151.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.596555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under39c143.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under52c132.39$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.586561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over67c128$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over44c110.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under39c93.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8350656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under31c93.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c87.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.691,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under28c78.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.927741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over27c73.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.62,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over64c70.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3733152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over32c63.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.223237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over66c59.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Under63c58.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.595123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.291,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over53c41.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.899026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over78c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.424680.4%37 W · 9 L+14.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+114.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over30c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2116845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.59852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over65c36.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.769740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over69c36.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1811861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Over61c35.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.766768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under39c32.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.926232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over65c31.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over64c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.318760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under50c30.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.026065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked Over67c27.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Over66c27.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over73c25.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9326965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over67c24.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174965.3%32 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over66c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1819164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over64c20.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9341262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Over65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94358.1%25 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over73c19.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.584252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under66c19.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.524862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.