South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf105381ce5b82acf4e39e0cc5b379f45f4018376de64aa80f8150f71019e611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 28c | 15,303$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.74 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 14,168$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 7,308$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 28c | 4,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.96 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 17c | 3,324$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.11 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 27c | 849.78$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 742.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 630.39$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 74c | 623.7$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 612.22$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 27c | 545.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 14c | 542.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 27c | 396.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 78c | 384.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 72c | 337$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 315.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 282.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 71c | 281.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 231.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 199.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 147.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 79c | 137.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 127.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 72c | 121.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 28c | 105.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 73c | 104.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 73c | 100.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 73c | 82.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 72c | 65.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 62.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 75c | 50.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 27c | 45.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 72c | 42.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 71c | 25.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 72c | 21.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.