South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba42379079961c67f5638885634e68732e7778e629443a9c74011e07fbb10514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 359 | 46.8%168 W · 191 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,563$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.88 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 1,908$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.62 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 1,517$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.68 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,500$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.98 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 54c | 924.94$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.47 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 924.87$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.43 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 923.5$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 44c | 794.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 682.08$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.79 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 57c | 630$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 415.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 46c | 402.42$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 329.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 46c | 280.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 43c | 220.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 46c | 189.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1,484 | 37.3%554 W · 930 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 54c | 186.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 163.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 121.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 120.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 58c | 101.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 100.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 605 | 56.4%341 W · 264 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 100.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 960 | 55.7%535 W · 425 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 35c | 82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Under | 46c | 76.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 66c | 63.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 55c | 55.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 71c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 38c | 50.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 69c | 43.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 41.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 443 | 61.6%273 W · 170 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 40.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 35.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 560 | 46.1%258 W · 302 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 254 | 57.1%145 W · 109 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…2c36backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 679 | 48.2%327 W · 352 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 48c | 25.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 63c | 24.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 271 | 65.7%178 W · 93 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 66c | 23.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 742 | 58.5%434 W · 308 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 46c | 23.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 46c | 23.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.