Champions League · resolved market
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9afa0b55bc6793fee38b4bd72687dfb116b87113102fddb759fe15bd23b8a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 11,984$8,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.62 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 9,058$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.95 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 5,858$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.86 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 5,159$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.46 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 50c | 3,023$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Under | 79c | 1,896$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 1,602$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.22 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 13c | 1,059$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 33c | 1,036$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 1,011$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Under | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 906.11$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.52 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 635.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 52c | 632.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 616.57$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 12c | 594.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 591.09$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 502.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 34c | 470.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 60c | 463.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 424.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 381.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 54c | 355$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 66c | 307$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 34c | 292$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 67c | 267.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 63c | 254.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 228.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…7050backed Over | 49c | 207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 195.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 169.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 80c | 169.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 150.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 139.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 67c | 137.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 125.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 26c | 122.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 32c | 106.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 62c | 97.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 62c | 80.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 46c | 79.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Over | 28c | 79.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 69.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…9d25backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 33c | 57.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 73c | 43.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 80c | 36.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Over | 33c | 34.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 66c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 66c | 27.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 67c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.