Champions League · resolved market
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5931c5077a8e51a194b2b8aee7345361ee34af87447ccd1690d6603abb14365b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 39c | 1,952$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.05 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,667$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.07 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 40c | 626.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 426.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 11c | 381.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 314.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 61c | 279.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 16c | 223.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 50c | 197.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 39c | 119.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 92.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 61c | 59.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 50.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 64c | 48.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 31c | 33.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Over | 46c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 36c | 31.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 26.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 58c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.