Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d47b7fb5c26e4c905f0b7254fc55abd24e7cdd0f8d092ae12cd93f106e19f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Górnik Zabrzeof Fenerbahçe SK, Górnik Zabrze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Górnik Zabrze | 66c | 22,796$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,796.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 5,771$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.24 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 2,674$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.09 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 2,478$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.32 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Górnik Zabrze | 62c | 2,076$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Fenerbahçe SK | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 32c | 1,972$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.86 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 21c | 1,900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 1,210$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 1,170$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 1,167$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.94 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 955.77$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.75 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 718.03$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 669.48$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 604.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Górnik Zabrze | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 467.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 388.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Fenerbahçe SK | 33c | 314.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 193.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Górnik Zabrze | 65c | 179.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Górnik Zabrze | 61c | 154.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Fenerbahçe SK | 33c | 149.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Fenerbahçe SK | 41c | 145.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 127.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 127.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 120.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Górnik Zabrze | 60c | 109.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Górnik Zabrze | 62c | 101.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Górnik Zabrze | 59c | 98.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 95.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Górnik Zabrze | 61c | 73.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Górnik Zabrze | 60c | 65.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Fenerbahçe SK | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Fenerbahçe SK | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 35.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Górnik Zabrze | 60c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Fenerbahçe SK | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Górnik Zabrze | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 69c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)this page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.