Champions League · resolved market
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53e46d531b6d1a6565fa0f681978dcf7ebaebc6a2b41dbb0c4034013472c23b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 3,849$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.91 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 1,622$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Under | 80c | 735.29$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 18c | 538.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 456.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 10c | 230.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 21c | 174.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 15c | 163.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 18c | 136.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 17c | 112$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 18c | 105.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 15c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 22c | 51.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Górnik Zabrze won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.