TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c891$330 inWon+$561.3399435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over63c788.23$500 inLost-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over62c747.99$467 inLost-$466.9920241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c421.45$161 inWon+$260.11,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under36c213.23$77 inWon+$136.4742647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over62c157.19$97 inLost-$97.349748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under36c128$46 inWon+$81.9228651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Under40c100$40 inWon+$604630.4%14 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over60c100$60 inLost-$602147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over61c44.14$27 inLost-$26.923259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over63c23.03$15 inLost-$14.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.