Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72719db73d857b57daab317a50e217a867df9edbac0bfb7561f444d4d833115c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FlyQuest REDof FlyQuest RED, SwimTrek Blue
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,877 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0aa4…5dc8backed SwimTrek Blue	73c	8,555$6,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,249.58	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FlyQuest RED	29c	6,123$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,347.19	463	26.6%123 W · 340 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed SwimTrek Blue	75c	2,658$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.79	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest RED	25c	2,620$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,964.09	198	60.6%120 W · 78 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked SwimTrek Blue	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+300%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FlyQuest RED	28c	1,353$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.45	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x835e…1a02backed SwimTrek Blue	57c	978.69$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed FlyQuest RED	24c	717.94$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.53	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest RED	27c	687.85$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.13	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed SwimTrek Blue	65c	591.2$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.84	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed SwimTrek Blue	40c	581.73$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked FlyQuest RED	40c	469.04$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.68	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bf…1a77backed FlyQuest RED	76c	379.27$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.62	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed FlyQuest RED	27c	366.1$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.09	136	61%83 W · 53 L	+14.8wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed FlyQuest RED	14c	361.46$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.63	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FlyQuest RED	33c	350$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.1	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FlyQuest RED	23c	300$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed SwimTrek Blue	75c	300$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked FlyQuest RED	59c	296.82$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.35	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked SwimTrek Blue	50c	278$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.08	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked SwimTrek Blue	35c	275.93$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.05	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FlyQuest RED	26c	263$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.25	281	43.4%122 W · 159 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed FlyQuest RED	27c	252.47$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.78	160	41.9%67 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SwimTrek Blue	68c	250.1$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.88	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed SwimTrek Blue	41c	240$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked SwimTrek Blue	67c	230.4$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.74	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed SwimTrek Blue	63c	210.58$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.44	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SwimTrek Blue	18c	191$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.84	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest RED	28c	185.35$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.45	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FlyQuest RED	38c	177.03$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.47	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked FlyQuest RED	35c	147.89$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.23	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+9.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FlyQuest RED	39c	147.2$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.71	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed FlyQuest RED	24c	144$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.8	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked FlyQuest RED	54c	127.34$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.92	158	33.5%53 W · 105 L	-14.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-38%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked SwimTrek Blue	50c	126.72$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3320…c9e7backed FlyQuest RED	48c	126$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7628…eb57backed FlyQuest RED	21c	100$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.53per pick	14cpaid	+392.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked SwimTrek Blue	72c	98.11$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.64	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked SwimTrek Blue	74c	95.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x845d…aef6backed FlyQuest RED	50c	92.74$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed SwimTrek Blue	68c	91.03$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FlyQuest RED	36c	90$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked FlyQuest RED	56c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.9	153	34.6%53 W · 100 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-36%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked SwimTrek Blue	76c	80$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FlyQuest RED	61c	79.97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.01	316	34.2%108 W · 208 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x085f…7a21backed FlyQuest RED	25c	74.76$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.07	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FlyQuest RED	37c	70$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2628…39cfbacked SwimTrek Blue	54c	68.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb908…6175backed FlyQuest RED	30c	67.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.53	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff95…9064backed SwimTrek Blue	73c	63.03$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.71	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed FlyQuest RED	27c	60$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	190	40%76 W · 114 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed FlyQuest RED	29c	59.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.89	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SwimTrek Blue	69c	57.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.67	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FlyQuest RED	36c	56.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked SwimTrek Blue	56c	51.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.45	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…dd11backed FlyQuest RED	38c	49.89$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+164.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed SwimTrek Blue	57c	49.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed FlyQuest RED	53c	44.43$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.98	96	40.6%39 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed FlyQuest RED	72c	41.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.77	40	65%26 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	73cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa839…8b66backed FlyQuest RED	36c	40.6$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+126%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f57…a4c0backed FlyQuest RED	40c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	39cpaid	+89.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FlyQuest RED	27c	39.56$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	396	46%182 W · 214 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed SwimTrek Blue	32c	39.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6331…850ebacked SwimTrek Blue	41c	38.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed FlyQuest RED	27c	38.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.93	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest RED	30c	36.45$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.63	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked SwimTrek Blue	48c	27.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa983…be03backed FlyQuest RED	57c	27.79$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed SwimTrek Blue	77c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked SwimTrek Blue	63c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.3wins	-0.33per pick	56cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked SwimTrek Blue	45c	24.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	183	3.3%6 W · 177 L	-73.1wins	-0.40per pick	43cpaid	-93.1%equal weight	11-0.35 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FlyQuest RED	65c	22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.69	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked SwimTrek Blue	58c	21.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	181	48.6%88 W · 93 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed SwimTrek Blue	51c	20.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked FlyQuest RED	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.7	345	71%245 W · 100 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked SwimTrek Blue	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SwimTrek Blue	61c	19.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked FlyQuest RED	78c	17.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.82	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagethis page
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue - Map 2 WinnerSwimTrek Blue won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event