Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9331a87d676ed54445d6aa37147b182b6617e8acc97dfdbaa7fff77706831421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SwimTrek Blueof FlyQuest RED, SwimTrek Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FlyQuest RED | 64c | 299.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SwimTrek Blue | 40c | 204.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed FlyQuest RED | 30c | 199.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked FlyQuest RED | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SwimTrek Blue | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SwimTrek Blue | 37c | 102.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked SwimTrek Blue | 68c | 83.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SwimTrek Blue | 40c | 80.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked FlyQuest RED | 67c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed SwimTrek Blue | 38c | 79.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SwimTrek Blue | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SwimTrek Blue | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed FlyQuest RED | 79c | 63.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SwimTrek Blue | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked FlyQuest RED | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked SwimTrek Blue | 63c | 44.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed SwimTrek Blue | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed SwimTrek Blue | 61c | 29.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FlyQuest RED | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed FlyQuest RED | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group StageFlyQuest RED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.