South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1be834bec240c5072da3569d425a8b76fe139d2cae9fefcadeb7df3bf48e5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 78c | 5,007$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.91 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 23c | 4,348$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.28 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 3,029$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.62 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 22c | 1,714$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.52 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,211$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 18c | 1,080$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 1,064$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.1 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 923.03$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 896.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 32c | 755.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.69 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 79c | 738.1$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 15c | 666.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 457.53$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 79c | 428.35$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 355$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 351.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 66c | 270.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 63c | 260.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 65c | 232.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 66c | 225.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Under | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 23c | 178.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 174.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 16c | 161.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 39c | 143.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 18c | 119.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 64c | 114.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc91…8981backed Over | 37c | 102.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Over | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 64c | 90.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 49c | 84.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 64c | 78.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 73.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 73.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 67.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 65c | 59.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…9b40backed Over | 34c | 41.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +181%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 34c | 32.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 67c | 22.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 21.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 67c | 18.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 74c | 15.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.