South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ced3762099f704a3e22abf225e5c712d9987a866dab7049849f1436f9b3809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 5c | 12,654$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.95 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 6,762$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 13c | 6,194$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 37c | 5,723$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.14 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 5,544$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 61c | 5,254$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.71 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 52c | 3,370$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.28 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 69c | 3,361$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.16 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 48c | 1,698$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 21c | 1,625$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.05 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 77c | 1,546$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 25c | 1,033$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 3c | 898.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 847.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Under | 14c | 806.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 68c | 709.87$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.02 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 28c | 607.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 32c | 558$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 60c | 541.84$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 4c | 532.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 51c | 528.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 38c | 500.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 440.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 24c | 414.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 22c | 403.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 63c | 385.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 41c | 350.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 29c | 333.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 47c | 275.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 6c | 244.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.79 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 6c | 244.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 26c | 242.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 14c | 241.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 233.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 42c | 205$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 13c | 200.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 13c | 184.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 55c | 183.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 162.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 14c | 131.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 61c | 121.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 39c | 111.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 103$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 82.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 33c | 65.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 45c | 59.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 28c | 59.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 65c | 45.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 78c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 55c | 19.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…420cbacked Over | 64c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 64c | 17.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.