South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ae8a9b7e25e372d602539e8d6ff08bcf9effb9bff21be0449cb894c253a3d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Sarmientoof CA Banfield, CA Sarmiento
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA Banfield | 19c | 3,939$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.15 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed CA Banfield | 19c | 599.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked CA Banfield | 19c | 544.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed CA Banfield | 41c | 400.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed CA Banfield | 45c | 352.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed CA Banfield | 20c | 310.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Banfield | 20c | 309.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CA Sarmiento | 58c | 262.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed CA Banfield | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked CA Banfield | 28c | 173.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed CA Banfield | 26c | 142.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed CA Banfield | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked CA Banfield | 29c | 91.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CA Banfield | 21c | 70.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked CA Sarmiento | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked CA Sarmiento | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CA Sarmiento | 80c | 59.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Banfield | 20c | 59.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed CA Sarmiento | 80c | 57.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked CA Banfield | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Banfield | 20c | 54.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed CA Sarmiento | 58c | 52.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked CA Banfield | 25c | 45.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed CA Sarmiento | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CA Sarmiento | 38c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CA Sarmiento | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed CA Sarmiento | 80c | 30.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed CA Banfield | 36c | 30.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed CA Sarmiento | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked CA Sarmiento | 80c | 27.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CA Sarmiento | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked CA Sarmiento | 80c | 22.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed CA Sarmiento | 70c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed CA Sarmiento | 76c | 18.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)this page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.