South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49832bfd815cd5f79f3b57b70dde944eabf560bc600991e9eef7d4c2ff875c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 54c | 6,242$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.09 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.96 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 2,115$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.37 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 62c | 1,618$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.84 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,583$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 1,182$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 45c | 500.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 492.79$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Under | 37c | 394.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 32c | 312.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 50c | 281.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 42c | 276.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 64c | 229.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 63c | 195$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 37c | 141.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 53c | 131.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 126.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 46c | 91.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 48c | 91.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 85.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 81.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 57c | 72.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 67.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 62c | 59.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…5e79backed Over | 47c | 47.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 40c | 43.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 63c | 40.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 32.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 32.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 32.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 60c | 28.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 62c | 28.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…98b8backed Under | 52c | 27.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 47c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 57c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 56c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.