South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3b2f470a79301c27728dd1ef73aba0dcf7bb4917e9e72c9e4c5a997a555cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,217$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,711$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,525$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 909.29$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 756.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 538.7$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 54c | 463.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 32c | 250.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 68c | 207$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Under | 55c | 192.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 31c | 155.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 61c | 133.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 43c | 129.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Under | 57c | 129.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 68c | 101.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 43c | 92.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 52c | 89.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 87.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 49c | 74.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 72.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 32c | 72.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 72.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 68.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 56.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 46.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 46.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 33c | 39.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Under | 66c | 34.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 45c | 28.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 67c | 23.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 57c | 20.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: CA Vélez Sarsfield O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: CA Vélez Sarsfield O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.