South American Leagues · resolved market

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e74470c4b8903ab7680d4df74bc03b67d4e7ec07b20d1788d8f7be93400b35

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe301…8654backed Under	2c	7,338$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.49	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over	25c	5,919$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,419.07	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	3,711$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.11	92	7.6%7 W · 85 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under	4c	3,255$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.87	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	4c	3,071$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.96	824	34.5%284 W · 540 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	4c	2,903$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.32	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	56c	2,797$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.29	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under	24c	2,357$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	54c	1,694$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.7	1,362	44.9%611 W · 751 L	-22.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under	3c	1,103$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+118.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-45%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	4c	751.65$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.62	89	28.1%25 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under	54c	737.8$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.41	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0565…14d9backed Over	73c	700.11$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.74	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	4c	533.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.23	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	57c	455.27$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.69	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under	71c	387$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.77	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over	78c	384.61$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.61	199	63.8%127 W · 72 L	+19.3wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	45c	380.71$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.51	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over	67c	343.28$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.28	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over	29c	327.2$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.31	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	60c	321.22$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.43	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	123	38.2%47 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under	73c	191.78$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	59c	191.64$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.72	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under	30c	166.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	45c	163.19$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.31	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	45c	163.19$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.35	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	66c	141.75$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.45	852	20.7%176 W · 676 L	-85.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	44c	135.32$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.54	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	29c	133.68$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.92	404	51.2%207 W · 197 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Under	63c	131.44$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	46c	125.87$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.49	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Over	60c	109.15$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under	71c	105$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	38c	95.36$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.39	506	56.3%285 W · 221 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under	72c	89.49$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.08	114	57%65 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	72c	89.25$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.99	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over	75c	82.67$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over	74c	80.9$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	74	67.6%50 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	58c	71.63$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.14	464	49.6%230 W · 234 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	27c	70.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.37	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under	27c	69.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.12	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0487…131abacked Under	36c	67.59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	76c	65.78$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	118	17.8%21 W · 97 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under	65c	61.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	26c	55.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Over	73c	54.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	55c	54.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.17	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+140.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	76c	39.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	457	46.8%214 W · 243 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	29c	35.06$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.89	559	46%257 W · 302 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	71c	32.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under	77c	31.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	83	75.9%63 W · 20 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	73c	30.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.19	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	69cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over	64c	26.64$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.69	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over	72c	24.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.94	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+10.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+28%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x74de…693fbacked Over	72c	18.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over	76c	18.22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.37	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Over	73c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.86	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	80c	17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	290	47.6%138 W · 152 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	67c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	217	52.1%113 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over	74c	14.42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5this page
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: CD Riestra O/U 2.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: CSyD Defensa y Justicia O/U 2.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 0.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CD Riestra won
Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)CD Riestra won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event