South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x364606c2156f771988ce585b7e05190a4a0a54bf5b3b63931dc3c90acbf8262b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 0c | 21,904$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 56c | 1,988$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.37 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 47c | 799.95$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 47c | 780.01$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 4c | 713.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 120 | 17.5%21 W · 99 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 58c | 623.02$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 577.02$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 512.93$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 75c | 185$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 23c | 150.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 144.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 782 | 51%399 W · 383 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 53c | 99.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 47c | 60.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 51c | 40.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 296 | 38.2%113 W · 183 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 46c | 30.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: CD Riestra O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: CSyD Defensa y Justicia O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 0.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.