South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d550106f251068d2c7e4bfa9adba980dfee9316a399d108e7bf0a49cea172f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 72c | 4,581$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 25c | 3,296$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.97 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 2,777$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 1,961$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 13c | 1,767$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 74c | 1,418$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 77c | 996$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.56 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 897.19$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Over | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 24c | 504.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 60c | 476$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 74c | 405.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 10c | 342.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 40c | 315.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 57c | 314.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 37c | 295.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 43c | 294.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 30c | 273$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 36c | 258.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 41c | 243.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 232.16$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 21c | 223.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 21c | 223.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 212.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 72c | 205$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 60c | 165.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 159.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 66c | 123.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 42c | 122.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 64c | 104.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 20c | 99.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Over | 23c | 95.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 42c | 58.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 49.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 48.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 70c | 47.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 41c | 39.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 31c | 33.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 75c | 23.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 69c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5this page
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: CD Riestra O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: CSyD Defensa y Justicia O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 0.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.