South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717e8937ca949f406776a972401fd968990164cc156b851d4e0303e3b2a74ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 7,670$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.33 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 7,466$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 21c | 2,538$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.38 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 72c | 2,150$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.81 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,063$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 16c | 1,818$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 47c | 1,035$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 10c | 1,027$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 27c | 824.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.48 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 37c | 767$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 47c | 620.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 49c | 420.26$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 38c | 384.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 375.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 27c | 370.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 368.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 73c | 254.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 50c | 235.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 51c | 201.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 71c | 200.27$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 179.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 70c | 151.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…cf4ebacked Under | 45c | 119.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 11c | 116.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 71c | 91.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 90.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 56c | 85.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 85.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 67c | 79.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 48c | 57.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 56.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 68c | 54.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0984…296bbacked Under | 59c | 32.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 35c | 30.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 46c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 49c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 57c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.